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Fivethirtyeights Latest Forecast Biden At 53 Trump At 38

2024 Election Odds 538

FiveThirtyEight's Latest Forecast: Biden at 53%, Trump at 38%

Key Points:

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  • President Biden is currently favored to win the 2024 election, according to FiveThirtyEight's forecast.
  • Biden's chances of winning have increased slightly since the last forecast, while Trump's have decreased.
  • The forecast is based on a variety of factors, including polling data, economic indicators, and historical trends.

FiveThirtyEight, an influential political analysis website, has released its latest forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The forecast gives President Biden a 53% chance of winning, while former President Trump is at 38%. This is a slight increase from FiveThirtyEight's previous forecast, which gave Biden a 52% chance of winning and Trump a 40% chance.

There are a number of factors that have contributed to Biden's improved odds. One is the recent economic data, which has shown that the economy is improving. Another is Biden's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has been praised by many. Trump, on the other hand, has seen his odds of winning decrease due to his continued unpopularity and his ongoing legal troubles.

It is important to note that the forecast is still subject to change. A lot can happen between now and the election, and it is possible that the race will tighten or even flip. However, FiveThirtyEight's forecast is a valuable tool for understanding the current state of the race and the factors that are likely to influence the outcome.


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